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  1. Rationality

Bayes' Theorem

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Last updated 3 years ago

- "We’re excited to bring you BAYES — a creative, no-code tool for thinking and speaking with data."

#video - "Bayes' theorem explained with examples and implications for life."

Crash Course

#video - "Bayes' Rule is a simple formula that tells you how to weigh evidence and change your beliefs. I don't go around plugging numbers into a formula all the time, but nevertheless, becoming familiar with Bayes has shifted the way I think in some important ways."

#video - 3Blue1Brown. "Perhaps the most important formula in probability."

#article - "One of the many applications of Bayes’ theorem is , a particular approach to . When applied, the probabilities involved in Bayes’ theorem may have different . With interpretation, the theorem expresses how a degree of belief, expressed as a probability, should rationally change to account for the availability of related evidence. Bayesian inference is fundamental to ."

#video - "Today we’re going to talk about Bayes Theorem and Bayesian hypothesis testing. Bayesian methods like these are different from how we've been approaching statistics so far, because they allow us to update our beliefs as we gather new information - which is how we tend to think naturally about the world. And this can be a really powerful tool, since it allows us to incorporate both scientifically rigorous data AND our previous biases into our evolving opinions."

#video - "Today we're going to finish up our discussion of Bayesian inference by showing you how we can it be used for continuous data sets and be applied both in science and everyday life. From A/B testing of websites and getting a better understanding of psychological disorders to helping with language translation and purchase recommendations Bayes statistics really are being used everywhere!"

#article

#video - "Julia Galef outlines the most important principles of thinking like a Bayesian."

#video - "I use pictures to illustrate the mechanics of "Bayes' rule," a mathematical theorem about how to update your beliefs as you encounter new evidence. Then I tell three stories from my life that show how I use Bayes' rule to improve my thinking."

Bayes: How one equation changed the way I think
Bayes theorem
Bayes' theorem
Bayesian inference
statistical inference
probability interpretations
Bayesian probability
Bayesian statistics
You know I’m all about that Bayes: Crash Course Statistics #24
Bayes in science and everyday life: Crash Course Statistics #25
How to become a Bayesian in eight easy steps: An annotated reading list
Thinking like a Bayesian - Julia Galef (Strata + Hadoop World 2016)
A visual guide to Bayesian thinking
Bayes.com
Bayesian Inference
The Bayesian Trap
https://xkcd.com/2545/