Links

Bayes' Theorem

Bayes.com - "We’re excited to bring you BAYES — a creative, no-code tool for thinking and speaking with data."
The Bayesian Trap #video - "Bayes' theorem explained with examples and implications for life."
Bayes: How one equation changed the way I think #video - "Bayes' Rule is a simple formula that tells you how to weigh evidence and change your beliefs. I don't go around plugging numbers into a formula all the time, but nevertheless, becoming familiar with Bayes has shifted the way I think in some important ways."
Bayes theorem #video - 3Blue1Brown. "Perhaps the most important formula in probability."
Bayes' theorem #article - "One of the many applications of Bayes’ theorem is Bayesian inference, a particular approach to statistical inference. When applied, the probabilities involved in Bayes’ theorem may have different probability interpretations. With Bayesian probability interpretation, the theorem expresses how a degree of belief, expressed as a probability, should rationally change to account for the availability of related evidence. Bayesian inference is fundamental to Bayesian statistics."
Crash Course
  • You know I’m all about that Bayes: Crash Course Statistics #24 #video - "Today we’re going to talk about Bayes Theorem and Bayesian hypothesis testing. Bayesian methods like these are different from how we've been approaching statistics so far, because they allow us to update our beliefs as we gather new information - which is how we tend to think naturally about the world. And this can be a really powerful tool, since it allows us to incorporate both scientifically rigorous data AND our previous biases into our evolving opinions."
  • Bayes in science and everyday life: Crash Course Statistics #25 #video - "Today we're going to finish up our discussion of Bayesian inference by showing you how we can it be used for continuous data sets and be applied both in science and everyday life. From A/B testing of websites and getting a better understanding of psychological disorders to helping with language translation and purchase recommendations Bayes statistics really are being used everywhere!"
Thinking like a Bayesian - Julia Galef (Strata + Hadoop World 2016) #video - "Julia Galef outlines the most important principles of thinking like a Bayesian."
A visual guide to Bayesian thinking #video - "I use pictures to illustrate the mechanics of "Bayes' rule," a mathematical theorem about how to update your beliefs as you encounter new evidence. Then I tell three stories from my life that show how I use Bayes' rule to improve my thinking."